Analysis: Labour's lead is still widening

With an unofficial electoral campaign under way Kurt Sansone analyses the result of a Misco survey commissioned by The Sunday Times. Polls have been unfavourable to the Nationalist Party for months and the undeclared strategy has been to put off the election for as long as possible. However, in the three months since the last survey conducted by The Sunday Times in July, the PN’s support has remained stationary as the gap with the Labour Party continued to widen. The governing party has also lost support among young voters, a redeeming factor in the last survey. Labour now enjoys the support of 32 per cent of voters in the 18 to 24 age bracket as opposed to the PN’s 19 per cent. With Labour gaining ground across all age groups, the PN also lost primacy in the over-62 category, a traditionally strong bastion of support. The PN now commands 29 per cent of respondents in this category, nine points less than the July survey. The Labour Party is supported by 35 per cent of respondents in the over-62 category, an increase of seven points in three months. From these figures, it seems the PN’s 2008 voting base has become undecided over the past three months. From those who voted PN in...